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Archive for the ‘Obama’ Category

Dark Days Ahead

Monday, July 12th, 2010

Last week, our nation celebrated its independence, but the liberties so carefully constructed by our founding fathers are threatened by the economic dangers that lie ahead. Freedom cannot thrive in a country so deeply divided.  Most Americans believe government no longer works for them. Under every imaginable economic scenario, this nation faces dark and humbling days ahead. The manner in which we react to this hard truth will determine who we, as a people, will become after this tenure of transformation. We can listen to the banter of partisan rhetoric: the slant, the criticism and the dichotomy of political theories or we can choose to become activists. Very few Main Street Americans can translate the argument between small and big government, for and against rising taxation and whether or not jobs can be created through trade agreements into the immediate needs of their lives. What they do know is that each Thursday the reports from the Bureau of Labor Statistics deliver more bad news proving that our beloved country is in crisis and that our people are suffering.  Most troubling to me, however, is the absence of urgency from our elected officials to provide and implement an effective action plan for job creation.

 

More than thirty million unemployed and under-employed Americans (and their family members) feel helpless, desperate and abandoned by Washington politicians who focus their partisan gamesmanship on issues other than the only one that matters most to them—their jobs.  In the past several months, the issue of unemployment has almost entirely centered on the extension of jobless benefits in Congress.  While I do believe that assistance for those in need is humanitarian and necessary, it is imperative that we accept these benefits for what they are – a temporary band-aid on a much larger systemic infrastructure problem - not the rapid job creator Speaker Pelosi claims them to be.       

 

This month, one year ago, I made my last of many visits to Treasury to present a plan designed to sustain and create jobs. I believed then, as I do now, that an economic recovery is not possible until we can curb the tide of unemployment.  Job losses cannot be stemmed until the liquidation of small and mid-sized enterprises (SMEs), which employ 80% of the American workforce, are halted.  Industry in this country must be embraced and accepted as the necessary foundation of our economy. The most direct and rapid solution to sustain and create employment is to incent private enterprise to originate and monetize rescue-financing loans for struggling SMEs and capital starved industrial companies.  We are now painfully aware that neither large banks nor community banks will provide such loans.

 

My rescue loan plan (RLP), as presented, accessed unutilized TARP funds set aside for the PPIP (Public Private Investment Program) Legacy Securities Program. Treasury originally intended $100 billion of TARP funds be used for PPIP programs but, only $30 billion was allocated and less was actually tapped for a plan that was ill conceived and underdeveloped. The RLP would have used $30 billion for equity and debt investments. The program’s blueprint was carefully designed to access structures previously announced and required no additional funding from Congress. The RLP would have saved jobs the old fashioned way, by lending money to companies that without funding would otherwise shut down and liquidate, leaving their employees without salaries and benefits .Without jobs, Americans lose the all important hope for a bright and prosperous future.

 

Unfortunately, the offer of my time and patented portfolio construction models, upon which my Patriarch platform has thrived, seemingly fell on deaf ears. At the time of my visit to Treasury in July of 2009, 1 in 3 unemployed persons were jobless for 27 weeks or more.  Less than one year later, in June of 2010, those individuals made up more than 45% of unemployed persons.  Immediate and early action to stop the bleeding and address the daunting but surmountable obstacles to job creation were overshadowed by the more politicized issues of healthcare and financial reform. 

 

Questionable Wall Street practices and synthetic financial instruments such as credit default swaps hunger for regulation.  However, at the risk of repetition in works of my recent past - the heart, soul and salvation of our nation have never, and will never, reside on Wall Street.  The disconnect between Wall Street and Main Street grows increasingly vast and any economic revival will lie in the recovery and resonance of cities and districts beyond southern Manhattan.  Immediate and aggressive action is needed from our elected officials to address the epidemic of unemployment.  It is a disease whose source must be analyzed and treated to provide long and lasting solutions.  The infrastructure of this nation has been badly injured.  Manufacturing jobs have been reduced by more than 9 million since the start of the decade.  Small and mid-sized businesses struggle to access the necessary working capital to survive.  Healing the plague upon the nation will begin with facing and addressing the truth.  We need an antidote to end the plague of joblessness and that solution rests with helping America’s struggling small and mid-sized businesses.  I hope Washington will hear our call.  America’s future depends on it.

Obama Pay Your Dues

Tuesday, February 2nd, 2010

As a native New Yorker, I am forever tempted by dinner and show. Wednesday night, while neither wined nor dined, I was mesmerized by the President’s performance. The Commander in Chief used the “theater of the address” in his State of the Union speech to launch his revival of Candidate Obama, The Common Man: a wonderful mix of Mr. Smith Goes to Washington and Mr. Obama Feigns Not, He Leads Washington.

Candidate Obama took our hands and started a slow stroll down Selective Memory Lane as he recounted his arrival in town by turnip truck, his miraculous election to President and his sudden shock at finding himself “a stranger in a foreign land” of politicians and people who expected government to “do stuff”, all while the economy was teetering on the precipice of abyss with the dangers of all things “really bad.”

While he could not easily understand or persuade these foreigners, he would rather rely on Rahm Emanuel, Harry Reid and Nancy Pelosi to do that for him, as his mission was directed only towards “doing good” and “helping people.” President Obama saved the banks only to discover later that banks house the bankers, who covet money with bold expectations of big bonus checks, every year without consequence of risk or reward.

The funny thing about Selective Memory Lane, however, is it often leads us in circles and sometimes to dead ends. Candidate Obama takes full credit for resolving the mess he came into, but the mess he allegedly fixed was the salvation of banks. In truth, the fix was in for the banks when President Bush and Treasury Secretary Paulson appropriated money from under the TARP and gave it freely to them, no strings attached. Ben Bernanke played his part, too, when he turned the Fed into the grandest junk yard in the financial world, buying up that which no one else wanted at prices ant New Yorker would call, insane!

For a while, the official word upheld the stimulus package, cleverly crafted by Reid and Pelosi, as the reason to claim credit. Only the stimulus did not create credit nor jobs, real or imagined, and unemployment soared to desperate heights. Things were getting very confusing Wednesday night, indeed.

Everyone wanted health care reform, but ironically no one welcomed President Obama’s proposal. The Common Man recognized rapidly the bill too large, while Candidate Obama maintained the measure unpopular because at 2,000 pages, the bill was too large. Adding insult to injury, he learned a new guy in a truck was coming to town and he professed a few ideas on health care, as well. So, it was such that the stage was set this week for Candidate Obama to engage in an all-out, one-sided debate (where was Joe Wilson when we needed him?) with The Common Man, calling out boldly to the greedy bankers to give back the money, to politicians to cease being politicians and to any citizen who had a better bill on health care, the request to bring it on. I have a bill for Candidate Obama, but I believe it to be distinct from the kind he expects. I have a bill that says there is no free lunch in this town, or in Washington.

Candidate Obama took one too many wrong turns down Selective Memory Lane when he announced his plan to use $30 billion of TARP funds to make loans available to small and mid-sized businesses with the purpose of job creation in America. His mandate is a great idea. I really like it. In fact, I liked it last July when I first proposed it to the White House and the Department of the Treasury. I liked it when I created a website to garner support, and again at the time I published my white paper on the idea. I liked it when President Obama announced a jobs summit and did not invite small business owners like me — make that — he did not invite me, to the meeting. So let me borrow a little bit from Candidate Obama — “let’s make this perfectly clear” — I did not authorize The Common Man to take my idea and claim it his own. More importantly, like the common cheat in school who looks over his shoulder for the answer, The Common Man missed a key point when he copied. The money will not create jobs if it is made available only to banks.

Remember the lesson of last year: banks have bankers in them. And, in this case, many of the small banks, to whom he will give this money, have big problems and will use it to fix broken balance sheets and bad loans already held. I knew this risk when I created my plan, now known as the Obama Plan. It is for this reason that the original plan states that TARP funds are used to provide capital support to lever investments in new rescue loans made by selected experienced investors in the public sector who choose to own them.

So it is time to pay the piper — or the writer, as the case may be — and Candidate Obama, here is your bill:

2010-02-01-checkplease

TheStreet.com on My Plan for Small Business Lending

Tuesday, November 3rd, 2009

In an article today on small business lending, TheStreet.com discusses my call for greater efforts to support lending to small and middle market companies:

While banks are asking those questions, others are already stepping up to the job.
Lynn Tilton, founder and CEO of the private-equity firm Patriarch Partners, has been voicing her concern about a dearth of small-business credit since the beginning of the crisis. She has placed advertisements in the New York Times and Washington Post issuing a “clarion call to rebuild America” through the creation of a federal bank that issues loans directly to capital-starved companies. She has also proposed a public-private partnership that would leverage funds from other rescue programs to do the same.

In the meantime, she’s invested billions of dollars in dozens of small businesses.
“When these companies are gone, they’re gone forever,” says Tilton. “We can’t get their business model back; they can’t get their workers back; they can’t get their production lines back.”

Though banks aren’t interested in lending to these companies, says Tilton: “We turn dust to diamonds every day.”

Read the full story here.

A Year Later — My Clarion Call to America Left Unanswered

Tuesday, November 3rd, 2009

From the Huffington Post (Nov. 2, 2009)

A Year Later — My Clarion Call to America Left Unanswered

By Lynn Tilton

One year ago, in response to a Treasury Plan to rescue large banks without mandate for lending, I rose defiantly from my comfort zone below the radar screen to speak my mind and deliver “truth” to America.  My fears, unfortunately since confirmed, was that Tarp-infused banks would use Treasury-injected capital to heal internal wounds left by lax controls, leverage upon leverage and abuse of synthetic instruments, leaving small and middle market businesses  without resources for recovery.

I argued that financial engineering had long distorted the value of our markets and seduced Americans into a false security of increasing GDP, dismissing the need for value creation through production of goods and delivery of services. I foretold that middle market manufacturers, the unsung heroes and hope for this nation, would be rendered prime casualties of the credit crisis and appealed for a national commitment to sustain the nation’s core economic base.  At the time, I had proposed a Provisional Federal Bank to lend directly to deserving businesses.  My call was early, my premise sound, my concerns verified but my solution ideologically rebuffed.  As such, unemployment became the defining force of our nation leaving the engine of job creation without fuel for production.

Amidst the unraveling of the American dream in its sudden transcendence to nightmare of foreclosures, layoffs and the destruction of our financial institutions, never once did I witness the direct delivery of truth to Americans. The potential damage to Main Street and warnings of expected job losses were quashed under the guise of containing fear. Truth, albeit cold and hard, is the starting point on the path to recovery and renewal.  With truth, the unknown vanishes, panic and fear subside and the long journey home can begin.  In contrast, Americans were left to believe that they could sit back confident of receiving the trickle-down benefits of financial institution salvation and stability. But banks never lent, much of our SME community did not survive and 26 million Americans are unemployed. Many Americans remain shocked and stunned by the precipitous unraveling of their family lives—no clarion call was sounded for them.

On Thursday of this week, the markets and the White House celebrated the end of the worst recession since World War II. The American government reported that GDP, a broad measure of the U.S. economy, had risen 3.5% on an annualized basis in the third quarter of 2009.  However, any analysis of the variables readily highlights the potency of temporary government stimulus in that growth, with largest components of spending strength reflected in car purchases and new home building, two agendas broadly supported by federal programs.  But before we commence any celebration, it should be clearly noted that consumer confidence declined in October and that unemployment continues its rise with no anticipated immediacy of relief. Christine Romer, lead White House Economic advisor, warned on Thursday that unemployment will remain “severely elevated” throughout 2010.

Main Street Americans remain confused by the conflicting data, seeking answers to the timing and type of recovery that brings relief to their despairing lives.  It is impossible for Main Street to unravel the data, signs of recovery or actions best taken to share in the relief that envelops Wall Street and corporate America.  And so I return to my entreating treatise of last year and ask again, when will we deliver truth to Americans?  When will we accept that people are paralyzed by the “unknown” and seek to fully understand the dichotomy between the recovery they hear and desolation they recognize?

We are living in “interesting times” and the road to resurgence will be long and fraught with obstacles.  A plan for economic recovery that comforts and assuage fears will necessitate focus on job creation and available credit to small and mid-sized enterprises. To bridge the great divide- the casualty of last year’s TARP focus- we will need honest assessment of damage, executable solutions that defy political objections and a clarion call for patience and discipline among Americans who must slowly rebuild their lives.  This passage starts with delivery of “truth” so that jobless and hopeless Americans clearly understand their long hard journey just now begins.

This country has long been a meritocracy founded upon education and work ethic, a nation in which each one of us could overcome the circumstance of birth to live the American dream. This is not a time in our nation’s history for panic, self-pity, entitlement or complacency; it is a time for discipline, hard work and cooperation. But it is also a time for truth, change and recognition that we cannot leave Main Street America behind.

In the words of Winston Churchill, “In war as in life, it is often necessary when some cherished scheme has failed, to take up the best alternative open, and if so, it is folly not to work for it with all your might.” We must never forget the inextricable link between great power and great responsibility; when much is given, much is expected. The path to economic recovery begins with truth.

To read the Clarion Call……http://www.patriarchpartners.com/Lynn_Tilton_WashPost_NYT.pdf

Obama’s Small Business Plan: Recognition of the Problem is a Critical First Step, But Much More is Needed

Tuesday, November 3rd, 2009

From the Huffington Post, October 27, 2009

Obama’s Small Business Plan: Recognition of the Problem is a Critical First Step, But Much More is Needed

By Lynn Tilton

The plan announced last week by President Obama to encourage lending to small businesses, in its recognition of the severity of the problem, is a noble first step. However, if we are truly committed to the salvation and revival of America’s small and mid-sized businesses and to saving and creating jobs, a more comprehensive plan is required. The Obama plan, while well intentioned, places the onus, in its entirety, on community banks to restart lending.  In theory and political pacification, this might make sense, but in practice, it will never work. And we are out of time. The plan we place forth now must offer an immediate and effective solution or permanent unemployment will plague us for decades.

Community banks have not been able to ride the full force and effect of TARP and other government programs. They struggle under the weight of large non-performing home loan mortgage and commercial real estate portfolios, with the rates of defaults showing no sign of deceleration.  Most community banks fight for their own survival, and regardless of incentives, are in no position to provide resources or inure the detriment of risks inherent to lending to small businesses, many in liquidity crises. Moreover, many community banks will be wary to accept the reporting requirements and conditions attached to TARP funds. The Independent Community Bankers of America, its primary trade association, immediately expressed concerns following Obama’s announcement.  “It’s uncertain how many community banks will use the program given the current examination environment and the conditions Congress has imposed on TARP funds,” Cam Fine, president and CEO of the ICBA said in the release.

We need a plan that is designed to ensure funds will reach small and mid-sized enterprises (SMEs) directly and with requisite sense of urgency. More than 70% of America’s work force is housed in SMEs and the liquidation of these businesses continue daily because they have no access to the basic working capital loans needed to operate their businesses. SMEs are the backbone of our economy, and they are in desperate need of support. Permanent unemployment will reach epidemic levels if finding a solution to continued job loss is not our nation’s priority. The SME Rescue Loan Program (RLP), my proposal to address this crisis, provides a qualitative and tactical plan founded in a patented quantitative solution that protects taxpayer dollars. For more information, see www.smerescueloans.com.

Earlier this summer, I proposed the RLP as a natural expansion to the Public–Private Investment Partnership (PPIP) under TARP. The existing PPIP, announced a year ago, was established by Treasury to purchase toxic assets from bank balance sheets. With time, it has grown evident toxic assets are neither the major danger to our economy or obstacle to new lending.

The RLP is designed to address the current threat to our economy within the construct of Treasury’s original plan. The RLP is drafted to support origination of new loans to those SMEs that cannot access traditional bank lending.  Because it is based on an existing program, the RLP can be implemented with rapidity.  And by reliance on private investment managers, who demonstrate the risk profile for troubled credits, rather than community banks, probability for success is exponentially enhanced.

A year ago, the implosion of credit markets began as a Wall Street crisis but rapidly spread to Main Street, paving a path of destruction. Credit markets seized and the global economy appeared to stand on the precipice of collapse.  Governments intervened with myriad programs designed to slow the pace of damage.  These programs succeeded, to varying degrees. Although grave risk of impending financial collapse may be behind us, the economy remains fragile. The fall-out from the crisis of last autumn has given way to new and dangerous threats of extremely high unemployment and permanent job losses, a prospect more frightening than others to Main Street Americans.  Absent an immediate rescue, unemployment could peak in excess of 12 percent with underemployment levels approaching 20 percent, exacerbating demand destruction and further economic deterioration.

With each passing day, the schism between Wall Street, Washington and Main Street widens. The American people grow increasingly incredulous with the complacency of Washington leadership.  Spreading optimism, in the face of Main Street hopelessness, is an affront that will no longer be borne. Wall Street buoyancy adds insult to injury, and Americans will not accept Wall Street bailouts founded upon taxpayer dollars with no meaningful action to save American jobs. We have a plan that initiates rescue financing and saves jobs in a manner that can be immediately effective by means of a combined private and public sector solution. The time to act is now.

Click here for more by Lynn Tilton at the Huffington Post.

Wall Street Journal — A Turnaround Specialist’s Advice to GM

Tuesday, June 9th, 2009

The Wall Street Journal

JUNE 9, 2009, 1:54 P.M. ET

A Turnaround Specialist’s Advice to GM
By LYNN TILTON

Edward Whitacre and the executives attempting to lead General Motors through its bankruptcy filing and business recovery would do well to heed lessons learned by executives who have successfully managed corporate turnarounds.

The rebuilding of a troubled company is a long and painful journey, and I’ve learned that the ultimate obstacle to success is reluctance to assess the mistakes of the past.

In distressed companies, the natural tendency of management is to rationalize mistakes, justify missteps and blame outside forces. The path to the future, however, is rooted in candid evaluation.

Triumph lies in creating a culture of change, one that appreciates a second chance. There are four steps essential to transforming company culture and refocusing organizational energy.

* First, often, a company must hire new leaders. Management that led the way to failure rarely can inspire strategic success.
* Second, a company must analyze, with dispassion and specificity, its lapses of judgment.
* Third, it must gain understanding from its failures and institute necessary changes to avoid repeating its earlier mistakes.
* And ultimately, leadership must demand a culture of change where appreciation is relevant and loyalty is valued.

Let me provide an example. During 2005, we acquired one of America’s great aviation companies, MD Helicopters. Founded by Howard Hughes, MD is a manufacturer of commercial and military helicopters. Prior to our acquisition, the company had been owned by McDonnell Douglas, Boeing and a Dutch entrepreneur. At the time of our purchase, MD’s problems were far more severe than leverage and stalled innovation, issues that also plague GM. Production had been shuttered, the supply chain frozen and 265 fleet aircraft grounded. As a result, the company was days from liquidation or a bankruptcy filing. Anger and disappointment were shared equally by customers, suppliers and employees, all of whom felt betrayed by the company’s dire financial circumstances.

MD, like others in the aerospace industry, had embraced the trend of outsourcing its supply base. The flow of thousands of parts was trusted to hundreds of suppliers. Late payments for parts delayed production, angered customers, grounded aircraft and created a cycle of destruction. Management, averting responsibility, blamed failure on insufficient access to capital rather than operating losses and its own bad decisions.

After replacing management three times — each leadership claiming the rebuild impossible — I ultimately seized the reins and embraced the role of CEO. Over the next two years, I assembled a leadership team whose passion and courage drove efficiencies, pushed sales and launched MD to its rightful place in the industry. With simplification of the supply chain a priority, we adopted a vertical integration initiative, manufacturing many hundreds of parts in-house that were previously produced by outside suppliers. Reducing business complexity, addressing customer concerns and revitalizing the cult love of product has fostered the revival of one of America’s great legacies. Revenues rose from $13 million in 2005 to more than $200 million in 2008. However, continued success is not guaranteed and constant assessment and improvements are essential.

The tendency towards rationalizing mistakes and blaming the economy is already apparent in comments from GM leadership. GM management has spoken frequently to unfavorable economic conditions, but rarely critiques its history of flawed decisions as a reason for its current condition. While GM’s new CEO, Fritz Henderson, has recently suggested that there may be changes coming to upper management, for now GM’s management team remains substantially the same. Can we believe that this team will take responsibility for behaviors so that necessary sweeping changes can be implemented? Truth is cold and hard but it is also the first step on the path to hope and recovery.

General Motors paved its path to bankruptcy filing with the arrogance inherent to great empires. The long history of triumph enabled static behavior in a dynamic world, leading to a dynasty left behind. Change is essential and inevitable, regardless of how painful to accept.

About the Author
Lynn Tilton is CEO of Patriarch Partners, a $6 billion private-equity fund based in New York that specializes in rebuilding American industrial companies and distressed bank debt. Ms. Tilton has helped lead turnarounds at companies such as Totes Isotoner, Snelling Staffing and Denali. Patriarch owns Global Automotive, a supplier to GM, and owns loans to Noble Automotive, a GM parts supplier.

Follow Lynn on Twitter at www.twitter.com/lynntilton

We Must Be A Country That Makes Things Once Again

Tuesday, June 9th, 2009

In his inaugural address, President Obama poetically and prophetically addressed the import of manufacturing to this great nation.  In his words:

It has not been the path for the faint-hearted, for those who prefer leisure over work, or seek only the pleasures of riches and fame. Rather, it has been the risk-takers, the doers, the makers of things — some celebrated, but more often men and women obscure in their labor — who have carried us up the long, rugged path towards prosperity and freedom.

President Obama’s Inaugural Address

But sometime shortly after inauguration, Obama apparently disregarded the promise of his words, the need to develop incentives and programs and the responsibility to promote the renaissance of US Manufacturing.

A fundamental economic recovery is rooted in job creation which depends fully upon the revival of US manufacturing.  The economic recovery, recently touted, is built upon the same false foundation that caused the devastating crisis of last fall.

Every great empire has been built upon a manufacturing economy; the fall of every great empire has been the failure to remember this fundamental fact.

The revitalization of US manufacturing extends well beyond the saving of GM and Chrysler. We must relinquish the too big to fail—too small to play mentality that has, to date, dictated government behavior.

More than 80% of the US workforce is housed by companies with fewer than 500 workers.  Most of this nation’s workforce lies in small and mid-sized companies, those with no access to loans, programs, or bailouts.  These companies are starving for cash.

The State of the Economy—–Even Weeds Start Out Green

  • With more than 70 portfolio companies across a dozen industries, I have yet to see the green shoots of recovery.  Revenue lines, despite significant declines year over year of 20-50%, reflect no major revival in top line growth.
  • The unemployed ranks increased by 787k in May to 14.5million and the unemployment rate rose to 9.4%. Since the start of the recession in December 2007, the ranks of unemployed persons have risen by 7 million.
  • While many sectors showed improvement in the latest job report, the news for manufacturers continued to be abysmal.  156,000 manufacturing jobs were lost in May, roughly the same for April.  Since the beginning of the recession, more than 2 million manufacturing jobs have been lost.
  • Since January of 2008, manufacturing has lost an average of 0.81% each month versus 0.26% for overall employment.
  • Non-seasonally adjusted manufacturing jobs May 2007/May 2008 have fallen by almost 12% or 1.6 million jobs.
  • Over the last decade, on a seasonally unadjusted basis, from a high of 17.4 million –manufacturing jobs have fallen to under 11.9 million, a loss of 7.5 million jobs.
  • Since peak employment in 2000 at a rate of 17mm cars—automotive and supplier employment has fallen by 50%.
  • Job recovery in the manufacturing sector is expected to be very slow—as many of the jobs lost will never again be available due to liquidations.  With liquidation comes loss of jobs, technology and know-how.

Printing Money and Federal Reserve Balances—Money Flows but Not to Industry

  • The Fed creates money in part by printing it, but mostly by crediting banks with deposits at the Fed. Those deposits are called reserve balances and are a key component – along with currency – of base money or central bank money which ultimately brings about changes in broader money supply measures.
  • Deposits at the Federal Reserve have increased its reserve by $855 million to $867 million, or by 99%, since the same time last year, in order to provide support the insolvent banks.  This is the creation of money out of thin air.
  • If Federal programs, as promised, are fulfilled to include the proposed purchase of 1.75 trillion of securities, balances at the Federal Reserve could increase to $3.4 trillion by the end of the year.
  • National Debt as a % of GDP already stands in excess of 50%– the Congressional Budget Office projects the national debt will increase to 82% over the next decade.  However, absent changes to current policy, the ratio could exceed 100% in less than 5 years.
  • With current policies, the US is on a collision course to lose its AAA rating. S&P has already stated that National Debt to GDP at 100% is incompatible with AAA rating.
  • The government has already committed nearly $4.2 trillion in spending to combat the financial crisis, with the total al potential cost of the bailout reaching $12.8 trillion in direct investments, loans, guarantees, and other programs.
  • It is increasingly disturbing that none of the potential $13 trillion of spend has been dedicated to strengthen this nation’s small and midsized companies –the heart of the American economy.

Weakening Dollar—Consequences to our Infinite Spend

  • The Fed policies have led to the forever weakening dollar, even against the currencies of countries with astounding declines in GDP.
  • Commodities—oil, steel, copper, gold………are all priced in US dollars. The weakening dollar has led to increased commodity pricing which in turn will increase expenses, eroding earnings at manufacturing companies with already deflated revenues.
  • Inflation lies in the shadows—ready to pounce with any true pick-up in demand.  At that time, we will be a nation of workers unprepared to withstand amplified cost structures, still deleveraging life styles.
  • And hedge fund money off the sidelines is adding insult to injury by riding the rising wave of commodity pricing.

The US Has Long Obfuscated the Need for Manufacturing—Nothing Has Changed

  • The idea that a manufacturing nation could be replaced with a financial market economy was ill conceived and veiled the import of job preservation. We need to immediately establish a provisional Federal Bank , a PPIP or TALF- like program targeted at loans to industry that will stimulate our economic resurgence.
  • I fear we are destined to repeat the same mistakes that led our economy, our banks and our financial system to the precipice of collapse.
  • Liquidity must be made available not solely to big banks where Treasury-injected capital has been amassed, but rather expressly to deserving American companies and their people who will re-ignite our sputtering economy. A provisional Federal Bank must be initiated to foster enterprise and to provide job opportunities for every American.
  • In times of great monetary loss, financial institutions severely tighten credit and we have already felt the consequences of that behavior. A provisional Federal Bank would assure access to capital for businesses with appropriate collateral and the commitment to embrace change.
  • Although many Fed actions have aimed to enhance liquidity and extend credit, none such action has resulted in direct lending to smaller and middle market companies upon which a resurgent economy will depend.
  • The TARP has little to facilitate lending – and it is getting no better.  Among those banks taking money from the Fed, commercial lending fell by an additional 1.2% in March.

Obama Administration Had the Opportunity to Realign Priorities and Values

  • The new administration had the opportunity to set priorities, to humble the nation and to inspire a patriotic rebuild of America.
  • In the panic of crisis, the government chose the path of least resistance. It reached again for the magic switch of fiscal and monetary policies. It chose to save the banks through cash, guarantees and programs.
  • It flooded the markets with the hope that it could slow the 2nd derivative of GDP prior to a systemic collapse.
  • But once crisis was averted, there was never a change in policy to focus on job creation through a focus on manufacturing.–to rebuild the economy bottom up with a foundation to withstand the next decline.
  • Instead the need for funds flow to small and mid-sized manufacturers has been wholly ignored with more manufacturers liquidating daily.

This Nation Suffers Under the Weight of a Crisis in Morality and Humanity

  • This economic crisis first found root in the loss of values—the acceptance  of behavior void of morality under the veil of responsibility to oneself, one’s family and one’s investors.
  • We, the American people are suffering under the weight of a crisis in morality, this great burden that threatens to destroy us and our nation, and yet we seem not to notice or recognize its symptoms and effects.
  • We naturally rationalize our own behaviors because it is the way in which we protect ourselves from feeling blame or guilt, when our actions hurt others or we hurt ourselves.  This is an instinctive response and yet it keeps us stagnant; it does not allow us to learn or grow from mistakes or build the internal infrastructure to defend against repeating the mistakes of the past
  • I do not believe we can begin to heal as a nation until we are willing to analyze fully the mistakes that led us to this place of darkness, despair and economic depression.  Once we each recognize that we are frail and flawed, we can address our own respective mistakes, change behaviors and begin to repair our lives.  Simply put, we need to each become better people.
  • To rebuild a company or a nation we must cultivate a culture of change, of appreciation for second chances.
  • We must accept that fighting for scraps will leave many hungry and that only by building value, together, will there be sufficient wealth to be shared.
  • Greatness is never one hero, but a group of people standing shoulder to shoulder moving in one direction. That is a force of nature.

The Renaissance of US Manufacturing Must Become a Government Priority through Capital Investment Partnerships and Incentives

  • If taxpayer money is to be used to ignite the economy and to provide credit during this tenor of fear and tenure of crisis, then the first priority must be to provide credit for struggling middle market and small companies.
  • We need government funding and incentives to inspire private investment in the US manufacturing base.
  • The Treasury and Federal Reserve should expand TALF or create a PPIP to support emergency loans to small- and mid-sized companies.
  • Only a resurgent manufacturing sector will lead to job creation

The Future of this Great Nation Depends Upon……….

  • We must reinvent our economy with a new manufacturing base rooted in technology\
  • The US  Economy can never fundamentally recover until we are once again the maker of things
  • The administration has supported green and alternative energy initiatives but we need more support for all sectors of manufacturing.

But we are Americans –we are a resilient people—but we must work as one force and remember that………………….

This country has long been a meritocracy founded upon education and work ethic, a nation in which each one of us could overcome the circumstance of birth to live the American dream. This is not a time in our nation’s history for panic, self-pity, entitlement or complacency; it is a time for discipline, hard work and cooperation. Call me naïve, but I believe that faced with the ugly truth, we will roll up our sleeves, raise ploughshares and stand together to rebuild America.

The power and pride of a nation radiates not only from its military and strength of leadership, but also from its prosperity and generosity toward others that such wealth affords.  Capitalism encourages the people of all nations to reach beyond their status. In the words of Winston Churchill, In war as in life, it is often necessary when some cherished scheme has failed, to take up the best alternative open, and if so, it is folly not to work for it with all your might. We must never forget the inextricable link between great power and great responsibility; when much is given, much is expected.  Power lies in prosperity and our salvation in truth.

© 2010 Patriarch Partners, LLC