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Archive for the ‘small business’ Category

Dark Days Ahead

Monday, July 12th, 2010

Last week, our nation celebrated its independence, but the liberties so carefully constructed by our founding fathers are threatened by the economic dangers that lie ahead. Freedom cannot thrive in a country so deeply divided.  Most Americans believe government no longer works for them. Under every imaginable economic scenario, this nation faces dark and humbling days ahead. The manner in which we react to this hard truth will determine who we, as a people, will become after this tenure of transformation. We can listen to the banter of partisan rhetoric: the slant, the criticism and the dichotomy of political theories or we can choose to become activists. Very few Main Street Americans can translate the argument between small and big government, for and against rising taxation and whether or not jobs can be created through trade agreements into the immediate needs of their lives. What they do know is that each Thursday the reports from the Bureau of Labor Statistics deliver more bad news proving that our beloved country is in crisis and that our people are suffering.  Most troubling to me, however, is the absence of urgency from our elected officials to provide and implement an effective action plan for job creation.

 

More than thirty million unemployed and under-employed Americans (and their family members) feel helpless, desperate and abandoned by Washington politicians who focus their partisan gamesmanship on issues other than the only one that matters most to them—their jobs.  In the past several months, the issue of unemployment has almost entirely centered on the extension of jobless benefits in Congress.  While I do believe that assistance for those in need is humanitarian and necessary, it is imperative that we accept these benefits for what they are – a temporary band-aid on a much larger systemic infrastructure problem - not the rapid job creator Speaker Pelosi claims them to be.       

 

This month, one year ago, I made my last of many visits to Treasury to present a plan designed to sustain and create jobs. I believed then, as I do now, that an economic recovery is not possible until we can curb the tide of unemployment.  Job losses cannot be stemmed until the liquidation of small and mid-sized enterprises (SMEs), which employ 80% of the American workforce, are halted.  Industry in this country must be embraced and accepted as the necessary foundation of our economy. The most direct and rapid solution to sustain and create employment is to incent private enterprise to originate and monetize rescue-financing loans for struggling SMEs and capital starved industrial companies.  We are now painfully aware that neither large banks nor community banks will provide such loans.

 

My rescue loan plan (RLP), as presented, accessed unutilized TARP funds set aside for the PPIP (Public Private Investment Program) Legacy Securities Program. Treasury originally intended $100 billion of TARP funds be used for PPIP programs but, only $30 billion was allocated and less was actually tapped for a plan that was ill conceived and underdeveloped. The RLP would have used $30 billion for equity and debt investments. The program’s blueprint was carefully designed to access structures previously announced and required no additional funding from Congress. The RLP would have saved jobs the old fashioned way, by lending money to companies that without funding would otherwise shut down and liquidate, leaving their employees without salaries and benefits .Without jobs, Americans lose the all important hope for a bright and prosperous future.

 

Unfortunately, the offer of my time and patented portfolio construction models, upon which my Patriarch platform has thrived, seemingly fell on deaf ears. At the time of my visit to Treasury in July of 2009, 1 in 3 unemployed persons were jobless for 27 weeks or more.  Less than one year later, in June of 2010, those individuals made up more than 45% of unemployed persons.  Immediate and early action to stop the bleeding and address the daunting but surmountable obstacles to job creation were overshadowed by the more politicized issues of healthcare and financial reform. 

 

Questionable Wall Street practices and synthetic financial instruments such as credit default swaps hunger for regulation.  However, at the risk of repetition in works of my recent past - the heart, soul and salvation of our nation have never, and will never, reside on Wall Street.  The disconnect between Wall Street and Main Street grows increasingly vast and any economic revival will lie in the recovery and resonance of cities and districts beyond southern Manhattan.  Immediate and aggressive action is needed from our elected officials to address the epidemic of unemployment.  It is a disease whose source must be analyzed and treated to provide long and lasting solutions.  The infrastructure of this nation has been badly injured.  Manufacturing jobs have been reduced by more than 9 million since the start of the decade.  Small and mid-sized businesses struggle to access the necessary working capital to survive.  Healing the plague upon the nation will begin with facing and addressing the truth.  We need an antidote to end the plague of joblessness and that solution rests with helping America’s struggling small and mid-sized businesses.  I hope Washington will hear our call.  America’s future depends on it.

My Latest Huffington Post Piece: “History May Repeat Itself, But Never Exactly”

Wednesday, November 11th, 2009

From the Huffington Post November 11, 2009

History May Repeat Itself, But Never Exactly

By Lynn Tilton

Although the jobless rate in America surprisingly soared to 10.2% with the broader measure of underemployment reaching 17.5%, heights not witnessed since the Great Depression, economists and government maintain economic recovery has commenced and enhanced employment will follow its historic lag.

In order to predict the future, one must always study the past and understand well the present circumstances evaluated. The foretelling of economic events and discharge of policy to assuage recessionary consequences relies heavily upon the study of history and the winding path to the present. And so as economists and government struggle to explain away our jobless economic recovery, they continue to grasp at historic data which demonstrate employment has always lagged as an indicator of economic revival.

The analysis of history in order to understand today or as predictor of what comes requires, above all, extrapolation.  If any one variable in the equation, or if circumstance or environment has been modified, then the resulting analysis will be altered and distinct.  I am troubled by the comparison of today’s economic data to recessions of mid-70s, early-80s and the Great Depression, absent the adjustment for changes in credit markets, interest rates, housing prices, health of banks, size of industrial base and government stimulus.  In order to contrast economic downturns, past and present, multiple variables must be compared simultaneously to discern changeability and predict behaviors.  It is shocking that we so rarely hear or read the grim reports of continued job losses explained within the context of economic elements necessary to understand well or predict accurately the timing of shift from job loss to job creation.

Main Street Americans have been battered by the perfect storm of falling employment, plummeting home prices and inability to access credit. And the storm has left so many homeless, jobless and hopeless.  But we are called upon to be patient and to forbear as history foreshadows that GDP growth leads to job creation and therefore help is near. In support of that request for patience, President Obama signed into law Friday temporary measures to alleviate the pain for Main Street unemployed in form of extensions of benefits and tax credits for home buyers.  It frightens me that we treat the symptoms of joblessness with provisional programs while the epidemic left unaddressed may rapidly create a populace of the permanently unemployed.

In recession, job losses, while painful, are anticipated.  Economic downturns cull weak companies, creating room for the strongest and most innovative to thrive.  The process of creative destruction is perceived as integral to free market economies.  However, this economic collapse is by no means similar to past recessions.  Too many job losses spring from changes in bank lending strategies and too many are casualties of small business liquidations.  The massacre of small business is best manifested in the broad variance in job loss numbers reported by the establishment survey, in contrast to the household survey that seeks to determine whether or not people are working by asking individuals their job status, rather than querying the larger companies that employ them.  During September and October, reported job losses were 263,000 and 785,000 and 190,000 and 585,000 for establishment and household surveys, respectively.  Over the course of 60 days, the differential exceeds 900,000 incremental job losses reflecting, in large part, destruction of very small businesses and the self-employed who are excluded from establishment census. The economy is not in a process of cyclical creative destruction, but rather in the deadly grasp of secular, irreparable economic devastation

As financially impaired banks retrenched from traditional secured lending to small and middle-market enterprises (SMEs) to preserve capital and repair balance sheets, a gaping hole in our financing economy was shaped. The sudden dearth of capital has forced companies that might otherwise rationalize and survive the current economic downturn to radically reduce workforce — layoffs that are permanent as, without capital, companies have no choice but to liquidate.

As we forecast employment, we cannot embrace history without adjustment for the unique economic character of this Great Recession that began in December 2007.  Not since the Great Depression have Americans endured this damaging confluence of events — dearth of credit and bank failures, mass liquidations of businesses, plunging real estate values and high unemployment.  The recessions of mid-70s and early-80s were not equally marred by so many threats. Most troubling to me, however, is that exit from this Great Recession will be the first in history where Americans could not turn to a broad industrial base or to small businesses for the requisite foundation for economic renaissance and job creation.  Manufacturing job losses accelerated in October with 61,000 compared to 45,000 in September. Since 2000, the U.S. has lost over 8 million manufacturing jobs, and since the start of the recession nearly 40% of all job losses have been casualties of a frail and dwindling industrial base. Adding insult to injury, in all previous post-war recoveries, it has been small businesses that fueled job recovery. In this recession, credit remains woefully unavailable to SMEs, impairing not only growth potential but interim survival.  I fear we have ignored the permanence that defines the recent contraction of American jobs and that if rebuilding America’s industrial base and providing capital to SMEs is not quickly addressed, more and more Americans will fill the rank and file of permanently unemployed.  Every great empire in recent times has been built upon a manufacturing economy. The fall of those great empires has been the failure to remember that one fundamental fact.

Follow Lynn Tilton on Twitter: www.twitter.com/lynntilton

Read this at the Huffington Post

TheStreet.com on My Plan for Small Business Lending

Tuesday, November 3rd, 2009

In an article today on small business lending, TheStreet.com discusses my call for greater efforts to support lending to small and middle market companies:

While banks are asking those questions, others are already stepping up to the job.
Lynn Tilton, founder and CEO of the private-equity firm Patriarch Partners, has been voicing her concern about a dearth of small-business credit since the beginning of the crisis. She has placed advertisements in the New York Times and Washington Post issuing a “clarion call to rebuild America” through the creation of a federal bank that issues loans directly to capital-starved companies. She has also proposed a public-private partnership that would leverage funds from other rescue programs to do the same.

In the meantime, she’s invested billions of dollars in dozens of small businesses.
“When these companies are gone, they’re gone forever,” says Tilton. “We can’t get their business model back; they can’t get their workers back; they can’t get their production lines back.”

Though banks aren’t interested in lending to these companies, says Tilton: “We turn dust to diamonds every day.”

Read the full story here.

A Year Later — My Clarion Call to America Left Unanswered

Tuesday, November 3rd, 2009

From the Huffington Post (Nov. 2, 2009)

A Year Later — My Clarion Call to America Left Unanswered

By Lynn Tilton

One year ago, in response to a Treasury Plan to rescue large banks without mandate for lending, I rose defiantly from my comfort zone below the radar screen to speak my mind and deliver “truth” to America.  My fears, unfortunately since confirmed, was that Tarp-infused banks would use Treasury-injected capital to heal internal wounds left by lax controls, leverage upon leverage and abuse of synthetic instruments, leaving small and middle market businesses  without resources for recovery.

I argued that financial engineering had long distorted the value of our markets and seduced Americans into a false security of increasing GDP, dismissing the need for value creation through production of goods and delivery of services. I foretold that middle market manufacturers, the unsung heroes and hope for this nation, would be rendered prime casualties of the credit crisis and appealed for a national commitment to sustain the nation’s core economic base.  At the time, I had proposed a Provisional Federal Bank to lend directly to deserving businesses.  My call was early, my premise sound, my concerns verified but my solution ideologically rebuffed.  As such, unemployment became the defining force of our nation leaving the engine of job creation without fuel for production.

Amidst the unraveling of the American dream in its sudden transcendence to nightmare of foreclosures, layoffs and the destruction of our financial institutions, never once did I witness the direct delivery of truth to Americans. The potential damage to Main Street and warnings of expected job losses were quashed under the guise of containing fear. Truth, albeit cold and hard, is the starting point on the path to recovery and renewal.  With truth, the unknown vanishes, panic and fear subside and the long journey home can begin.  In contrast, Americans were left to believe that they could sit back confident of receiving the trickle-down benefits of financial institution salvation and stability. But banks never lent, much of our SME community did not survive and 26 million Americans are unemployed. Many Americans remain shocked and stunned by the precipitous unraveling of their family lives—no clarion call was sounded for them.

On Thursday of this week, the markets and the White House celebrated the end of the worst recession since World War II. The American government reported that GDP, a broad measure of the U.S. economy, had risen 3.5% on an annualized basis in the third quarter of 2009.  However, any analysis of the variables readily highlights the potency of temporary government stimulus in that growth, with largest components of spending strength reflected in car purchases and new home building, two agendas broadly supported by federal programs.  But before we commence any celebration, it should be clearly noted that consumer confidence declined in October and that unemployment continues its rise with no anticipated immediacy of relief. Christine Romer, lead White House Economic advisor, warned on Thursday that unemployment will remain “severely elevated” throughout 2010.

Main Street Americans remain confused by the conflicting data, seeking answers to the timing and type of recovery that brings relief to their despairing lives.  It is impossible for Main Street to unravel the data, signs of recovery or actions best taken to share in the relief that envelops Wall Street and corporate America.  And so I return to my entreating treatise of last year and ask again, when will we deliver truth to Americans?  When will we accept that people are paralyzed by the “unknown” and seek to fully understand the dichotomy between the recovery they hear and desolation they recognize?

We are living in “interesting times” and the road to resurgence will be long and fraught with obstacles.  A plan for economic recovery that comforts and assuage fears will necessitate focus on job creation and available credit to small and mid-sized enterprises. To bridge the great divide- the casualty of last year’s TARP focus- we will need honest assessment of damage, executable solutions that defy political objections and a clarion call for patience and discipline among Americans who must slowly rebuild their lives.  This passage starts with delivery of “truth” so that jobless and hopeless Americans clearly understand their long hard journey just now begins.

This country has long been a meritocracy founded upon education and work ethic, a nation in which each one of us could overcome the circumstance of birth to live the American dream. This is not a time in our nation’s history for panic, self-pity, entitlement or complacency; it is a time for discipline, hard work and cooperation. But it is also a time for truth, change and recognition that we cannot leave Main Street America behind.

In the words of Winston Churchill, “In war as in life, it is often necessary when some cherished scheme has failed, to take up the best alternative open, and if so, it is folly not to work for it with all your might.” We must never forget the inextricable link between great power and great responsibility; when much is given, much is expected. The path to economic recovery begins with truth.

To read the Clarion Call……http://www.patriarchpartners.com/Lynn_Tilton_WashPost_NYT.pdf

Obama’s Small Business Plan: Recognition of the Problem is a Critical First Step, But Much More is Needed

Tuesday, November 3rd, 2009

From the Huffington Post, October 27, 2009

Obama’s Small Business Plan: Recognition of the Problem is a Critical First Step, But Much More is Needed

By Lynn Tilton

The plan announced last week by President Obama to encourage lending to small businesses, in its recognition of the severity of the problem, is a noble first step. However, if we are truly committed to the salvation and revival of America’s small and mid-sized businesses and to saving and creating jobs, a more comprehensive plan is required. The Obama plan, while well intentioned, places the onus, in its entirety, on community banks to restart lending.  In theory and political pacification, this might make sense, but in practice, it will never work. And we are out of time. The plan we place forth now must offer an immediate and effective solution or permanent unemployment will plague us for decades.

Community banks have not been able to ride the full force and effect of TARP and other government programs. They struggle under the weight of large non-performing home loan mortgage and commercial real estate portfolios, with the rates of defaults showing no sign of deceleration.  Most community banks fight for their own survival, and regardless of incentives, are in no position to provide resources or inure the detriment of risks inherent to lending to small businesses, many in liquidity crises. Moreover, many community banks will be wary to accept the reporting requirements and conditions attached to TARP funds. The Independent Community Bankers of America, its primary trade association, immediately expressed concerns following Obama’s announcement.  “It’s uncertain how many community banks will use the program given the current examination environment and the conditions Congress has imposed on TARP funds,” Cam Fine, president and CEO of the ICBA said in the release.

We need a plan that is designed to ensure funds will reach small and mid-sized enterprises (SMEs) directly and with requisite sense of urgency. More than 70% of America’s work force is housed in SMEs and the liquidation of these businesses continue daily because they have no access to the basic working capital loans needed to operate their businesses. SMEs are the backbone of our economy, and they are in desperate need of support. Permanent unemployment will reach epidemic levels if finding a solution to continued job loss is not our nation’s priority. The SME Rescue Loan Program (RLP), my proposal to address this crisis, provides a qualitative and tactical plan founded in a patented quantitative solution that protects taxpayer dollars. For more information, see www.smerescueloans.com.

Earlier this summer, I proposed the RLP as a natural expansion to the Public–Private Investment Partnership (PPIP) under TARP. The existing PPIP, announced a year ago, was established by Treasury to purchase toxic assets from bank balance sheets. With time, it has grown evident toxic assets are neither the major danger to our economy or obstacle to new lending.

The RLP is designed to address the current threat to our economy within the construct of Treasury’s original plan. The RLP is drafted to support origination of new loans to those SMEs that cannot access traditional bank lending.  Because it is based on an existing program, the RLP can be implemented with rapidity.  And by reliance on private investment managers, who demonstrate the risk profile for troubled credits, rather than community banks, probability for success is exponentially enhanced.

A year ago, the implosion of credit markets began as a Wall Street crisis but rapidly spread to Main Street, paving a path of destruction. Credit markets seized and the global economy appeared to stand on the precipice of collapse.  Governments intervened with myriad programs designed to slow the pace of damage.  These programs succeeded, to varying degrees. Although grave risk of impending financial collapse may be behind us, the economy remains fragile. The fall-out from the crisis of last autumn has given way to new and dangerous threats of extremely high unemployment and permanent job losses, a prospect more frightening than others to Main Street Americans.  Absent an immediate rescue, unemployment could peak in excess of 12 percent with underemployment levels approaching 20 percent, exacerbating demand destruction and further economic deterioration.

With each passing day, the schism between Wall Street, Washington and Main Street widens. The American people grow increasingly incredulous with the complacency of Washington leadership.  Spreading optimism, in the face of Main Street hopelessness, is an affront that will no longer be borne. Wall Street buoyancy adds insult to injury, and Americans will not accept Wall Street bailouts founded upon taxpayer dollars with no meaningful action to save American jobs. We have a plan that initiates rescue financing and saves jobs in a manner that can be immediately effective by means of a combined private and public sector solution. The time to act is now.

Click here for more by Lynn Tilton at the Huffington Post.

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